Probabilistic Approach to Modeling Lava Flow Inundation: A Lava Flow Hazard Assessment for a Nuclear Facility in Armenia

Laura J. Connor, Charles B. Connor, Khachatur Meliksetian, Ivan Savov

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

Probabilistic modeling of lava flow hazard is a two-stage process. The first step is an estimation of the possible locations of future eruptive vents followed by an estimation of probable areas of inundation by lava flows issuing from these vents. We present a methodology using this two-stage approach to estimate lava flow hazard at a nuclear power plant site near Aragats, a Quaternary volcano in Armenia.

Original languageAmerican English
JournalJournal of Applied Volcanology
Volume1
DOIs
StatePublished - Dec 1 2012

Keywords

  • lava flow simulation
  • modeling code
  • probabilistic hazard assessment
  • spatial density
  • Monte Carlo method
  • Armenia

Disciplines

  • Earth Sciences

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